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Mathias Bourgue vs Jelle Sels Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Bourgue vs Sels analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Mathias Bourgue vs Jelle Sels Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Bourgue 2 - 0 Sels

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Bourgue has won 49.78% of points on their second serve, while Sels has won 51.72%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Bourgue, in recent form, has won 46.32% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sels has won 53.35%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.2% and 35.48% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Bourgue has saved 63.64% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sels has saved 59.02% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Bourgue has won 52.94% of matches played (W/L 36/ 32), with Sels winning 56.45% (W/L 35/ 27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Bourgue has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 258/ 170), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 43% (W/L 3/ 4). Sels has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 194/ 150), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/ 5).
  • Player level: In the last year, Bourgue has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 53.45% of matches (W/L 31/ 27), where as Sels has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 70% of matches (W/L 28/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Bourgue winning 2 times and Sels being victorious 0 times. They have played 5 sets in total, with Bourgue winning 4 and Sels winning 1. The last match between Bourgue and Sels was at the Pau Challenger, 28-02-2023, First, I.hard with Mathias Bourgue getting the victory 6-1 7-6(6).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:10:54.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Bourgue and Sels have played a deciding set 1 times, with Bourgue winning 1 times and Sels 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Bourgue winning 2, and Sels 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Bourgue has played against opponents with an average rank of 261.21 while Sels has played against players with an average rank of 209.35.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Bourgue has won 59% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sels has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Bourgue has converted 39.33% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sels has converted 42.53% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Mathias Bourgue

13

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

11

Minor

293

Rank

140

High

30

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

0

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

399

Rank

127

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Jelle Sels

7

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

6

Minor

2

Total

0

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

2

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L L L W L W W L

Form

W W W L L W W W W L

59% (451-308)

Career Total W/L

55% (339-277)

42% (11-15)

YTD W/L

70% (26-11)

$143,480

Career Prize Money

$0

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Bourgue VS Sels H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Mathias Bourgue Jelle Sels
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 4 1
Games Won 32 21
Aces (Total) 25 13
DFs (Total) 2 8
Avg Match Time 2:10:54 2:10:54
1st Serve % 72% (106/148) 66% (131/197)
1st Serve Win% 83% (88/106) 67% (88/131)
2nd Serve Win% 64% (27/42) 48% (32/66)
BPs Won% (Total) 20% (5/25) 50% (1/2)
Return Points W% 39% (77/197) 22% (33/148)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (1/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 100% (1/1)
1st set L, W 100% (1/1) 0% (1/0)

Bourgue VS Sels H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 7-6(6)
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Jelle Sels
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve %
62% ( 53 of 86)
6
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
94% ( 32 of 34)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 32 of 53)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
18% ( 3 of 17)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
12% ( 6 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 38 of 86)
81
Total Points Won
54
6-7(1) 7-6(4) 6-1
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Jelle Sels
73% ( 72 of 99)
1st Serve %
70% ( 78 of 111)
19
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
5
78% ( 56 of 72)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 56 of 78)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 27 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 39 of 111)
111
Total Points Won
99

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Mathias Bourgue Jelle Sels
YTD W/L 42% (11/15) 70% (26/11)
Sets Win/Loss 45% (28/34) 65% (54/29)
Games Win/Loss 50% (293/294) 55% (432/347)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 68% (13/6)
Clay Win/Loss 40% (6/9) 72% (13/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (5/5) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.45 0.33
Aces Total 129 126
DFs per game 0.21 0.24
DFs Total 61 92
Avg Match Time 1:42:34 1:51:20
Avg Opp Rank 214.42 199.81
1st Serve % 64% (1181/1850) 59% (1483/2499)
1st Serve W% 69% (812/1181) 71% (1050/1483)
2nd Serve W% 50% (333/669) 52% (531/1016)
BPs Won% Total 39% (59/150) 41% (112/274)
Return Pts W% 37% (644/1748) 42% (1018/2443)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 43% (9/12) 60% (3/2)
Futures W/L 0% (0/1) 72% (23/9)
Best of 3 Sets W% 46% (11/24) 69% (25/36)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (4/8) 47% (7/15)
Deciding Set W% 50% (6/12) 75% (6/8)
1st set W, W 86% (7/6) 91% (23/21)
1st set W, L 0% (7/0) 9% (23/2)
1st set L, W 26% (19/5) 36% (14/5)

Mathias Bourgue Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Zizou Bergs
Player
Mathias Bourgue
49% ( 28 of 57)
1st Serve %
64% ( 45 of 70)
3
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
3
68% ( 19 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
62% ( 18 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
35% ( 20 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 34 of 70)
71
Total Points Won
56
L
6-2 7-6(4) H2H
Q2
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Radu Albot
68% ( 66 of 97)
1st Serve %
63% ( 67 of 106)
8
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
6
62% ( 41 of 66)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 40 of 67)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
18% ( 3 of 17)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
44% ( 43 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
98
Total Points Won
105
W
1-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Mae Malige
67% ( 66 of 98)
1st Serve %
56% ( 43 of 77)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
71% ( 47 of 66)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 23 of 43)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
36% ( 35 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 31 of 77)
94
Total Points Won
81
W
4-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Quentin Halys
Player
Mathias Bourgue
62% ( 38 of 61)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
10
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 27 of 40)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 64)
67
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Mathias Bourgue
Player
Duje Ajdukovic
63% ( 48 of 76)
1st Serve %
65% ( 31 of 48)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
0
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
46% ( 13 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
38% ( 29 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
66
Total Points Won
58
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Felix Gill
Player
Mathias Bourgue
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
50% ( 36 of 72)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
62% ( 28 of 45)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
39% ( 27 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 72)
77
Total Points Won
65
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
Q1
cross
Mikhail Kukushkin
Player
Mathias Bourgue
79% ( 52 of 66)
1st Serve %
55% ( 38 of 69)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 28 of 38)
71% ( 10 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
29% ( 19 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 31 of 69)
78
Total Points Won
57
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Antonio Caruso
Player
Mathias Bourgue
46% ( 19 of 41)
1st Serve %
44% ( 16 of 36)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
63% ( 12 of 19)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 9 of 16)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
46% ( 19 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
37
Total Points Won
40
L
4-6 2-0 ret. H2H
Q1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Mathias Bourgue
69% ( 59 of 85)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
2
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
0
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 28 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 32 of 86)
89
Total Points Won
82
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Mathias Bourgue
70% ( 52 of 74)
1st Serve %
66% ( 37 of 56)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
5
60% ( 31 of 52)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 26 of 37)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
38% ( 28 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 24 of 56)
70
Total Points Won
60
L
6-4 6-4 H2H

Jelle Sels Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Martin Klizan
Player
Jelle Sels
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
64% ( 45 of 70)
3
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
60% ( 12 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 16 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 31 of 70)
68
Total Points Won
55
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Enrico Dalla Valle
61% ( 44 of 72)
1st Serve %
67% ( 33 of 49)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 24 of 33)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
35% ( 25 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 20 of 49)
67
Total Points Won
54
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Alexey Vatutin
59% ( 62 of 105)
1st Serve %
48% ( 42 of 88)
8
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
6
71% ( 44 of 62)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 31 of 42)
49% ( 21 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 24 of 46)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
38% ( 40 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 88)
98
Total Points Won
95
W
4-6 7-6(3) 3-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
48% ( 39 of 82)
1st Serve %
64% ( 58 of 90)
7
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
3
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 35 of 58)
51% ( 22 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
37% ( 30 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 40 of 90)
92
Total Points Won
80
W
2-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Jay Clarke
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve %
56% ( 42 of 75)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
97% ( 35 of 36)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
15% ( 8 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 30 of 75)
74
Total Points Won
53
W
7-6(4) 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Lucas Miedler
Player
Jelle Sels
58% ( 28 of 48)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
86% ( 24 of 28)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 10 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 27 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
45
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Henri Squire
Player
Jelle Sels
58% ( 37 of 64)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
5
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
36% ( 23 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 35 of 69)
76
Total Points Won
57
L
7-6(4) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Tristan Lamasine
54% ( 52 of 97)
1st Serve %
65% ( 69 of 106)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
5
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 42 of 69)
53% ( 24 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 19 of 37)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
36% ( 35 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 106)
107
Total Points Won
96
W
6-3 4-6 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Nikoloz Basilashvili
63% ( 40 of 64)
1st Serve %
66% ( 45 of 68)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 32 of 68)
72
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Jelle Sels
Player
Tomasz Berkieta
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve %
60% ( 24 of 40)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
50% ( 7 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
19% ( 3 of 16)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 10 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
54
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-0 H2H

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